Monsoon Exits Maharashtra, However Rain Expected Across the State on October 15, 16

The annual rainy season has officially drawn to a close over the state. According to the India Meteorological Department (IMD), the southwest monsoon withdraws from Maharashtra completely, marking a significant shift in the regional weather pattern. While the withdrawal is complete, the transition is bringing some unexpected rainfall to parts of the state.

What Does the Monsoon Withdrawal Mean?

The withdrawal of the southwest monsoon signifies the end of the primary rainy season. S.D. Sanap, a senior meteorologist at IMD Pune, confirmed that the monsoon has officially withdrawn from the entire state as of Monday, October 13, 2025. This exit occurred three days later than the normal date of October 10, highlighting a slight deviation from the typical seasonal calendar.

A Stalled and Delayed Exit Process

The monsoon’s retreat this year was anything but straightforward. The process was characterized by significant delays, primarily due to two major weather events.

• Early Start, Sudden Stall: The withdrawal initially began three days early from Rajasthan but then stalled for about 15 days between September 24 and October 9.
• Cyclonic Influence: This prolonged stall was caused by the formation of Cyclone Shakti in the Arabian Sea and a concurrent low-pressure system over the Bay of Bengal. These systems disrupted the typical withdrawal pattern.
• Final Push: The process finally resumed on October 9, and over the following days, the southwest monsoon withdraws from Maharashtra in stages, completing its retreat on October 13.

Post-Monsoon Rainfall: A Surprise for Pune and Beyond

Even though the southwest monsoon withdraws from Maharashtra, the IMD has predicted light to moderate rainfall for several parts of the state, including Pune district, on October 15 and 16. Weather experts attribute this to specific atmospheric conditions that remain active despite the monsoon’s departure.

• Moisture Incursion: A flow of moisture from the Bay of Bengal is interacting with rising temperatures.
• Localized Showers: This combination is likely to trigger isolated rainfall activity, leading to scattered showers in areas like Pune, even after the monsoon season has technically ended.

Current Withdrawal Line and Nationwide Status

The IMD has provided a detailed update on the monsoon’s withdrawal line across the Indian subcontinent. As of now, the monsoon has receded from:

• Most of Maharashtra, Goa, and Karnataka.
• Entire states of Madhya Pradesh, Uttar Pradesh, Jharkhand, West Bengal, and Sikkim.
• Most parts of Chhattisgarh and Bihar.

Conditions are expected to remain favourable for the monsoon’s complete withdrawal from the remaining parts of the country, including the northeastern states, over the next two to three days.