Maharashtra to Receive Above-Normal Rainfall in July 2025: IMD Issues Flood Warning for Krishna & Godavari Basins
Maharashtra Weather, July 01, 2025: Maharashtra is set to experience widespread above-normal rainfall in July 2025, according to the latest forecast from the India Meteorological Department (IMD). The Monthly Outlook for Rainfall and Temperature report, released on June 30, highlights heightened monsoon activity across the state, particularly in the Krishna and Godavari river basins, where extreme rainfall is expected, raising flood risks.
IMD Predicts Heavy Rainfall, Warns of Flooding Risks
The IMD has issued a colour-coded probabilistic rainfall map, indicating that most regions of Maharashtra will receive above-average rainfall this month. During a virtual press conference on Monday, Mrutyunjay Mohapatra, Director General of Meteorology at IMD, emphasized the need for urgent monitoring of river water levels, tributaries, and reservoirs to mitigate potential flooding.
“Special attention must be given to the Krishna and Godavari basins due to the elevated risk of flooding and related hazards,” Mohapatra cautioned.
Behind the Forecast: Advanced Climate Models & Monsoon Trends
The IMD’s Multi-Model Ensemble (MME) forecasting system, which incorporates data from global climate models (CGCMs), including the Monsoon Mission Climate Forecasting System (MMCFS), supports the prediction.
Mohapatra noted that neutral El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) conditions currently prevail over the equatorial Pacific Ocean and are expected to persist through the monsoon season. This factor, combined with an increase in low-pressure systems (LPS), is likely to drive intense rainfall across Maharashtra.
June’s Record LPS Activity Sets Precedent for July
June 2025 saw 13 low-pressure system (LPS) days, far exceeding the long-term average of 2.8 days for the month. This surge contributed to heavy rainfall in Central India and along the western coast, a trend expected to continue into July.
“The rise in low-pressure activity is likely to persist, increasing the chances of extreme weather events,” Mohapatra added.
Agricultural Benefits vs. Disaster Preparedness
While timely rains will benefit the agriculture sector, authorities must remain vigilant against flash floods, landslides, and waterlogging. The IMD has urged proactive administrative measures to safeguard vulnerable regions.
Summary:
✔ Above-normal rainfall expected across Maharashtra in July 2025.
✔ Krishna & Godavari basins at high risk of extreme rainfall & flooding.
✔ Increased low-pressure systems driving heavy monsoon activity.
✔ Neutral ENSO conditions to persist, influencing monsoon patterns.
✔ Authorities advised to monitor reservoirs, rivers, and tributaries closely.
